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Chinese Regulator’s Family Profited From Stake in Insurer

Written By Unknown on Senin, 31 Desember 2012 | 12.07

Gilles Sabrie for The New York Times

The Ping An International Finance Center, being built in Shenzhen. Ping An is among the world's biggest financial institutions.

SHANGHAI — Relatives of a top Chinese regulator profited enormously from the purchase of shares in a once-struggling insurance company that is now one of China's biggest financial powerhouses, according to interviews and a review of regulatory filings.

The regulator, Dai Xianglong, was the head of China's central bank and also had oversight of the insurance industry in 2002, when a company his relatives helped control bought a big stake in Ping An Insurance that years later came to be worth billions of dollars. The insurer was drawing new investors ahead of a public stock offering after averting insolvency a few years earlier.

With growing attention on the wealth amassed by families of the politically powerful in China, the investments of Mr. Dai's relatives illustrate that the riches extend beyond the families of the political elites to the families of regulators with control of the country's most important business and financial levers. Mr. Dai, an economist, has since left his post with the central bank and now manages the country's $150 billion social security fund, one of the world's biggest investment funds.

How much the relatives made in the deal is not known, but analysts say the activity raises further doubts about whether the capital markets are sufficiently regulated in China.

Nicholas C. Howson, an expert in Chinese securities law at the University of Michigan Law School, said: "While not per se illegal or even evidence of corruption, these transactions feed into a problematic perception that is widespread in the P.R.C.: the relatives of China's highest officials are given privileged access to pre-I.P.O. properties." He was using the abbreviation for China's official name, the People's Republic of China.

The company that bought the Ping An stake was controlled by a group of investment firms, including two set up by Mr. Dai's son-in-law, Che Feng, as well as other firms associated with Mr. Che's relatives and business associates, the regulatory filings show.

The company, Dinghe Venture Capital, got the shares for an extremely good price, the records show, paying a small fraction of what a large British bank had paid per share just two months earlier. The company paid $55 million for its Ping An shares on Dec. 26, 2002. By 2007, the last time the value of the investment was made public, the shares were worth $3.1 billion.

In its investigation, The New York Times found no indication that Mr. Dai had been aware of his relatives' activities, or that any law had been broken. But the relatives appeared to have made a fortune by investing in financial services companies over which Mr. Dai had regulatory authority.

In another instance, in November 2002, Dinghe acquired a big stake in Haitong Securities, a brokerage firm that also fell under Mr. Dai's jurisdiction, according to the brokerage firm's Shanghai prospectus.

By 2007, just after Haitong's public listing in Shanghai, those shares were worth about $1 billion, according to public filings. Later, between 2007 and 2010, Mr. Dai's wife, Ke Yongzhen, was chairwoman on Haitong's board of supervisors.

A spokesman for Mr. Dai and the National Social Security Fund did not return phone calls seeking comment. A spokeswoman for Mr. Che, the son-in-law, denied by e-mail that he had ever held a stake in Ping An. The spokeswoman said another businessman had bought the Ping An shares and then, facing financial difficulties, sold them to a group that included Mr. Che's friends and relatives, but not Mr. Che.

The businessman "could not afford what he has created, so he had to sell his shares all at once," the spokeswoman, Jenny Lau, wrote in an e-mail.

The corporate records reviewed by The Times, however, show that Mr. Che, his relatives and longtime business associates set up a complex web of companies that effectively gave him and the others control of Dinghe Venture Capital, which made the investments in Ping An and Haitong Securities. The records show that one of the companies later nominated Mr. Che to serve on the Ping An board of supervisors. His term ran from 2006 to 2009.

The Times reported last month that another investment company had also bought shares in Ping An Insurance at an unusually low price on the same day in 2002 as Dinghe Venture Capital. That company, Tianjin Taihong, was later partly controlled by relatives of Prime Minister Wen Jiabao, then serving as vice premier with oversight of China's financial institutions. In late 2007, the shares Taihong bought in Ping An were valued at $3.7 billion.

The investments by Dinghe and Taihong are significant in part because by late 2002, Beijing regulators had granted Ping An an unusual waiver to rules that would have forced the insurer to sell off some divisions. Throughout the late 1990s, the company was fighting rules that would have required a breakup, a move that Ping An executives worried could lead to bankruptcy.

It is unclear whether Mr. Wen or Mr. Dai intervened on behalf of Ping An, but in April 2002 the company was allowed to reorganize and retain its brokerage and trust division. Two years later, Ping An sold shares to the public for the first time in Hong Kong. In 2007, after a second stock listing in Shanghai, the value of the company's shares skyrocketed. Today, Ping An is one of the world's biggest financial institutions, worth an estimated $65 billion.

The decision to grant the waiver came after Ping An executives and the insurer's bankers had aggressively lobbied regulators, including Mr. Dai.


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Rape Incites Women to Fight Culture in India

Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

A candlelight gathering after the cremation on Sunday blocked a road in New Delhi, the city where the Dec. 16 rape occurred.

NEW DELHI — Neha Kaul Mehra says she was only 7 years old the first time she was sexually harassed. She was walking to a dance class in an affluent neighborhood of New Delhi when a man confronted her and began openly masturbating.

That episode was far from the last. Years of verbal and physical sexual affronts left Ms. Mehra, now 29, filled with what she described as "impotent rage."

Last week, she and thousands of Indian women like her poured that anger into public demonstrations, reacting to news of the gang rape of another young woman who had moved to the city from a small village, with a new life in front of her.

That woman, a 23-year-old physiotherapy student, died Saturday from internal injuries inflicted with a metal rod during the rape, which took place on a bus two weeks ago.

In her story and its brutal ending, many women in the world's largest democracy say they see themselves.

"That girl could have been any one of us," said Sangeetha Saini, 44, who took her two teenage daughters to a candle-filled demonstration on Sunday in Delhi. Women in India "face harassment in public spaces, streets, on buses," she said. "We can only tackle this by becoming Durga," she added, referring to the female Hindu god who slays a demon.

Indian women have made impressive gains in recent years: maternal mortality rates have dropped, literacy rates and education levels have risen, and millions of women have joined the professional classes. But the women at the heart of the protest movement say it was born of their outraged realization that no matter how accomplished they become, or how hard they work, women here will never fully take part in the promise of a new and more prosperous India unless something fundamental about the culture changes.

Indeed, many women in India say they are still subject to regular harassment and assault during the day and are fearful of leaving their homes alone after dark. Now they are demanding that the government, and a police force that they say offers women little or no protection, do something about it.

Ankita Cheerakathil, 20, a student at St. Stephen's College who attended a protest on Thursday, remembered dreading the daily bus ride when she was in high school in the southern state of Kerala. Before she stepped outside her house, she recalled, she would scrutinize herself in a mirror, checking to see whether her blouse was too tight. At the bus stop, inevitably, men would zero in on the schoolgirls in their uniforms, some as young as 10, to leer and make cracks filled with sexual innuendo.

"This is not an isolated incident," Ms. Cheerakathil said of the death of the New Delhi rape victim. "This is the story of every Indian woman."

While the Dec. 16 attack was extreme in its savagery, gang rapes of women have been happening with frightening regularity in recent months, particularly in northern India. Critics say the response from a mostly male police force is often inadequate at best.

Last week, an 18-year-old woman in Punjab State committed suicide by drinking poison after being raped by two men and then humiliated by male police officers, who made her describe her attack in detail several times, then tried to encourage her to marry one of her rapists. Dozens more gang rapes have been reported in the states of Haryana, Bihar and Uttar Pradesh in recent months.

The government does not keep statistics on gang rape, but over all, rapes increased 25 percent from 2006 to 2011. More than 600 rapes were reported in New Delhi alone in 2012. So far, only one attack has resulted in a conviction.

Sociologists and crime experts say the attacks are the result of deeply entrenched misogynistic attitudes and the rising visibility of women, underpinned by long-term demographic trends in India.

After years of aborting female fetuses, a practice that is still on the rise in some areas because of a cultural preference for male children, India has about 15 million "extra" men between the ages of 15 and 35, the range when men are most likely to commit crimes. By 2020, those "extra" men will have doubled to 30 million.

"There is a strong correlation between masculinized sex ratios and higher rates of violent crime against women," said Valerie M. Hudson, a co-author of "Bare Branches: The Security Implications of Asia's Surplus Male Population." Men who do not have wives and families often gather in packs, Ms. Hudson argues, and then commit more gruesome and violent crimes than they would on their own.

Reporting was contributed by Malavika Vyawahare, Anjani Trivedi, Niharika Mandhana and Saritha Rai.


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Suspect in Fatal Subway Push Had History of Arrests and Mental Illness

Long before Erika Menendez was charged with pushing a stranger to his death under an oncoming train at a Queens elevated station, she had years of contact with New York City's mental health and law enforcement establishments. She was treated by the psychiatric staffs of at least two city hospitals, and caseworkers visited her family home in Queens to provide further help. She was also arrested at least three times, according to the police, twice after violent confrontations.

Ms. Menendez's years of inner and outer turmoil culminated in the deadly assault on an unsuspecting man who was waiting for a train on Thursday. Beyond stirring fear among riders on crowded platforms across the city, the attack also raised new questions about the safeguards in a patchwork private and public mental health system that is supposed to allow mentally ill people to live as freely as possible in the community while protecting them and the public.

A similar attack more than a decade ago led to a law aimed at forcing mentally ill people with a history of violence to undergo treatment, but it is widely acknowledged to cover only a small portion of those who need help.

D. J. Jaffe, the executive director of the Mental Illness Policy Organization, an advocacy group, said that thousands of troubled individuals with violent histories were released from mental health facilities, and that beyond requiring that they have a home to go to and an outpatient care plan in place, there was little oversight of their activities.

"No one monitors if they are taking their medication," Mr. Jaffe said. "Or follows up to see if they are a danger to themselves or others."

The case of Ms. Menendez, 31, puts renewed attention on a mental health system that is a loose amalgam of hospitals, supported housing, shelters and other advocacy and support groups, in which mentally ill people often bounce from one to the other and ultimately fall through the cracks. It is not known precisely where she fit in.

City officials said it would be misleading to conclude that anyone was at fault in her treatment.

"People get well and then they get sick again," Ana Marengo, a spokeswoman for the city's Health and Hospitals Corporation, which runs Bellevue and Elmhurst Hospital Centers, said Sunday. Ms. Menendez had been treated at both hospitals, according to friends and law enforcement officials.

Ms. Marengo declined to confirm or deny whether Ms. Menendez had been treated at either hospital, citing confidentiality rules, but said that patients who were treated at city hospitals often were discharged into the care of outpatient mental health providers.

There were ample warnings over the years concerning Ms. Menendez.

In 2003, according to the police, she attacked another stranger, Daniel Conlisk, a retired firefighter, as he took out his garbage in Queens.

"I was covered with blood," Mr. Conlisk recalled on Sunday. "She was screaming the whole time."

Just two months earlier, Ms. Menendez was accused of hitting and scratching another man in Queens. She was also arrested on cocaine possession charges the same year.

Since then, according to friends and people familiar with her record, she has been cared for at mental health facilities in Manhattan and Queens as her problems worsened.

Between 2005 and February this year, the police responded five times to calls from relatives reporting difficulties in dealing with Ms. Menendez, reportedly stemming from her failure to take certain medication, according to a law enforcement official who was not authorized to speak publicly about her medical history. In one of these instances, in 2010, she threw a radio at one of the responding officers, the official said.

"She has been in and out of institutions," another law enforcement official said, speaking on the condition of anonymity.

Within the past year, she was discharged from Bellevue, according to a person with knowledge of her medical history.

Reporting was contributed by Daniel Krieger, Michael Schwirtz, Julie Turkewitz and Benjamin Weiser.


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G.O.P. Yields on Fiscal Point, Clearing Way for More Talks

T.J. Kirkpatrick for The New York Times

"It looks awful," Senator Richard J. Durbin of Illinois, the second-ranking Democrat, said after tense negotiations on Sunday. More Photos »

WASHINGTON — Senate leaders on Sunday failed to produce a fiscal deal with just hours to go before large tax increases and spending cuts were to begin taking effect on New Year's Day, despite a round of volatile negotiations over the weekend and an attempt by Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. to intervene.

In seesaw negotiations, the two sides got closer on the central issue of how to define the wealthy taxpayers who would be required to pay more once the Bush-era tax cuts expire.

But that progress was overshadowed by gamesmanship. After Republicans demanded that any deal must include a new way of calculating inflation that would mean smaller increases in payments to beneficiaries of programs like Social Security, Democrats halted the negotiations for much of the day.

The Republican leader in the Senate, Mitch McConnell, made an emergency call to Mr. Biden in hopes of restarting negotiations, and the White House sent the president's chief legislative negotiator to the Capitol to meet with Senate Democrats. Soon after, Republicans withdrew their demand and discussions resumed, but little progress was made.

Lawmakers will be back on Monday. Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, the majority leader, said the Senate would return at 11 a.m. Monday and then left the Capitol just after 6 p.m.

"Talk to Joe Biden and McConnell," Mr. Reid told reporters when asked if negotiations were continuing.

In the balance are more than a half-trillion dollars in tax increases on virtually every working American and across-the-board spending cuts that are scheduled to begin Tuesday. Taken together, they threaten to push the economy back into recession.

"It looks awful," said Senator Richard J. Durbin of Illinois, the second-ranking Democrat. "I'm sure the American people are saying, with so much at stake why are they waiting so late to get this done?"

Senator Lindsey Graham, Republican of South Carolina, who had said early Sunday that he thought a deal was within reach, said later on his Twitter feed, "I think we're going over the cliff."

Weeks of negotiations between President Obama and Speaker John A. Boehner inched toward a deal to avert the so-called fiscal cliff, while locking in trillions of dollars in deficit reduction over 10 years and starting an effort to overhaul the tax code and entitlement programs like Medicare. But earlier this month, Mr. Boehner walked away from those talks.

Instead he tried to reach a much more modest deal to avoid a fiscal crisis by extending the expiring tax cuts for incomes under $1 million. When Mr. Boehner's own Republican members revolted, he ceded negotiations to the Senate. But compromise has proved equally elusive in that chamber.

Absent a last-minute deal, Mr. Reid is expected to move on Monday to bring to a vote a stopgap measure pushed by Mr. Obama, which would retain lower tax rates for incomes below $250,000 and extend unemployment benefits. But it was not clear that would even get a vote. The objection of a single senator on Monday would run out the clock on the 112th Congress before a final tally could be taken.

Mr. Obama appeared on the NBC program "Meet the Press" on Sunday and implored Congress to act. "We have been talking to the Republicans ever since the election was over," Mr. Obama said in the interview. "They have had trouble saying yes to a number of repeated offers."

He added, "Now the pressure's on Congress to produce."

After the talks broke down over the inflation demand, Senate Republicans emerged from a closed-door meeting on Sunday afternoon to declare the issue off the table for now. Senator John McCain, Republican of Arizona, said that holding the line against raising taxes on high-income households while fighting for cuts to Social Security was "not a winning hand."

Then they mustered a new talking point, saying Democrats want to raise taxes only to spend more money. Their new objection: Democrats are seeking a one- to two-year "pause" for across-the-board spending cuts and an extension of expired unemployment benefits for two million people.

"We raise taxes, and we spend more?" asked Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison, Republican of Texas. "It's business as usual."

For their part, Democrats beat back the inflation proposal, and then promptly proclaimed themselves incensed that Republicans would not soften their position on a generous level of taxation on inherited estates and an insistence that a final deal permanently prevent the alternative minimum tax, a parallel tax system meant to ensure that wealthy people pay more, from expanding to affect more of the middle class.

Democrats were also demanding that across-the-board cuts to military and domestic programs — known as the "sequester" — at least be delayed.

Robert Pear and John M. Broder contributed reporting.


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Settlement Expected With Banks Over Home Loans

Banking regulators are close to a $10 billion settlement with 14 banks that would end the government's efforts to hold lenders responsible for foreclosure abuses like faulty paperwork and excessive fees that may have led to evictions, according to people with knowledge of the discussions.

Under the settlement, a significant amount of the money, $3.75 billion, would go to people who have already lost their homes, making it potentially more generous to former homeowners than a broad-reaching pact in February between state attorneys general and five large banks. That set aside $1.5 billion in cash relief for Americans.

Most of the relief in both agreements is meant for people who are struggling to stay in their homes and need the banks to reduce their payments or lower the amount of principal they owe.

The $10 billion pact would be the latest in a series of settlements that regulators and law enforcement officials have reached with banks to hold them accountable for their role in the 2008 financial crisis that sent the housing market into the deepest slump since the Great Depression. As of early 2012, four million Americans had been foreclosed upon since the beginning of 2007, and a huge amount of abandoned homes swamped many states, including California, Florida and Arizona.

Federal agencies like the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Justice Department are continuing to pursue the banks for their packaging and sale of troubled mortgage securities that imploded during the financial crisis.

Housing advocates were largely unaware of the latest rounds of secret talks, which have been occurring for roughly a month. But some have criticized the government for not dealing more harshly with bankers in light of their lax standards for making loans and packaging them as investments, as well as their problems with modifying troubled loans and processing foreclosures.

A deal could be reached by the end of the week between the 14 banks and the nation's top banking regulators, led by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, four people with knowledge of the negotiations said. It was unclear how many current and former homeowners would receive money or when it would be distributed.

Told on Sunday night of the imminent settlement, Lynn Drysdale, a lawyer at Jacksonville Area Legal Aid and a former co-chairwoman of the National Association of Consumer Advocates, said: "It's certainly a victory for consumers and could help entire neighborhoods. But the devil, as they say, is in the details, and for those people who have had to totally uproot their lives because of eviction it may still not be enough."

In recent weeks within the upper echelons of the comptroller's office, pressure was mounting to negotiate a banner settlement with the banks, according to people with knowledge of the matter. The reason was that some within the agency had started to realize that a mandatory review of millions of bank loans was not yielding meaningful examples of the banks' wrongfully evicting homeowners who were current on their payments or making partial payments, according to the people.

Representative of banking regulators did not return calls for comment on Sunday.

The biggest action against the banks for foreclosure-related abuses has been the $26 billion settlement between the five largest mortgage servicers and the state attorneys general, Justice Department and the Department of Housing and Urban Development after allegations arose in 2010 that bank employees were churning daily through hundreds of documents used in foreclosure proceedings without properly reviewing them for accuracy.

The same banks in that settlement — JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and Ally Financial — are included in the current negotiations.

Under the terms of the settlement being negotiated, $6 billion would come from banks to be used for relief for homeowners, including reducing their principal, helping them refinance and donating abandoned homes, the people said.

The proposed settlement would also halt a separate sweeping review of more than four million loan files that the comptroller's office and the Federal Reserve required the banks undertake as part of a consent order in April 2011.

Under the terms of the order, the 14 banks had to hire independent consultants to pore through the loan records to determine whether the banks illegally charged fees, forced homeowners to take out costly insurance or miscalculated loan payment amounts. Consultants initially estimated that each loan would take about eight hours, at a cost of up to $250 an hour, to go through.

The costs of the reviews have ballooned, though, according to people with knowledge of the reviews, in part because each loan file is taking up to 20 hours to review. Since its inception, the reviews have cost the banks about $1.5 billion, according to those people.

Pressure to reach a settlement with the banks has been building, particularly within the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, amid widespread frustration that the banks' mandatory review of loan files was arduous and expensive, and would not yield promised relief to homeowners, according to five former and current banking regulators.

In private meetings with top bank executives, these people said, regulators have admitted that the reviews had gone awry. At one point this month, an official from the comptroller's office said the agency had "miscalculated" the scope and requirements of the reviews, according to the people with knowledge of the negotiations.

When the settlement discussions heated up this month, some banking executives said they felt they would be vindicated by the regulators. These executives said that they had raised objections to the reviews early on, but those concerns were largely dismissed by regulatory officials, according to the people with knowledge of the negotiations.

Instead, officials from the comptroller's office, these people said, have used the loan reviews as a negotiating tool, telling banks that they can either sign on to a large settlement or be forced to pay billions over several more years until the consultants finish the reviews.

When regulators approached the banks to broach a settlement this month, they met first with Wells Fargo and proposed that the banks pay $15 billion, according to the people familiar with the discussions. After negotiations, though, the regulators agreed to $10 billion.

All of the 14 banks are expected to sign on.


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Woman Is Held in Death of Man Pushed Onto Subway Tracks in Queens

Written By Unknown on Minggu, 30 Desember 2012 | 12.07

A 31-year-old woman was arrested on Saturday and charged with second-degree murder as a hate crime in connection with the death of a man who was pushed onto the tracks of an elevated subway station in Queens and crushed by an oncoming train.

Uli Seit for The New York Times

Erika Menendez, 31, charged with second-degree murder as a hate crime, was led out of the 112th Precinct in Queens on Saturday.

The woman, Erika Menendez, selected her victim because she believed him to be a Muslim or a Hindu, Richard A. Brown, the Queens district attorney, said.

"The defendant is accused of committing what is every subway commuter's nightmare: Being suddenly and senselessly pushed into the path of an oncoming train," Mr. Brown said in an interview.

In a statement, Mr. Brown quoted Ms. Menendez, "in sum and substance," as having told the police: "I pushed a Muslim off the train tracks because I hate Hindus and Muslims ever since 2001 when they put down the twin towers I've been beating them up." Ms. Menendez conflated the Muslim and Hindu faiths in her comments to the police and in her target for attack, officials said.

The victim, Sunando Sen, was born in India and, according to a roommate, was raised Hindu.

Mr. Sen "was allegedly shoved from behind and had no chance to defend himself," Mr. Brown said. "Beyond that, the hateful remarks allegedly made by the defendant and which precipitated the defendant's actions should never be tolerated by a civilized society."

Mr. Brown said he had no information on the defendant's criminal or mental history.

"It will be up to the court to determine if she is fit to stand trial," he said.

Ms. Menendez is expected to be arraigned by Sunday morning. If convicted, she faces a maximum penalty of life in prison. By charging her with murder as a hate crime, the possible minimum sentence she faced would be extended to 20 years from 15 years, according to prosecutors.

On Saturday night, Ms. Menendez, wearing a dark blue hooded sweatshirt, was escorted from the 112th Precinct to a waiting car by three detectives. Greeted by camera flashes and dozens of reporters, she let out a loud, unintelligible moan. She did not respond to reporters' questions.

The attack occurred around 8 p.m. on Thursday at the 40th Street-Lowery Street station in Sunnyside.

Mr. Sen, 46, was looking out over the tracks when a woman approached him from behind and shoved him onto the tracks, according to the police. Mr. Sen never saw her, the police said.

 The woman fled the station, running down two flights of stairs and down the street.

 By the next morning, a brief and grainy black-and-white video of the woman who the police said was behind the attack was being broadcast on news programs.

Patrol officers picked up Ms. Menendez early Saturday after someone who had seen the video on television spotted her on a Brooklyn street and called 911, said Paul J. Browne, the chief spokesman for the Police Department. She was taken to Queens and later placed in lineups, according to detectives. Police Commissioner Raymond W. Kelly said on Friday that, according to witnesses' accounts, there had been no contact on the subway platform between the attacker and the victim before the shove.

The case was the second this month involving someone being pushed to death in a train station. In the first case, Ki-Suck Han, 58, of Elmhurst, Queens, died under the Q train at the 49th Street and Seventh Avenue station on Dec. 3. Naeem Davis, 30, was charged with second-degree murder in that case.

Mr. Sen, after years of saving money, had opened a small copying business on the Upper West Side this year.

Ar Suman, a Muslim, and one of three roommates who shared a small first-floor apartment with Mr. Sen in Elmhurst, said he and Mr. Sen often discussed religion.

Though they were of different faiths, Mr. Suman said, he admired the respect that Mr. Sen showed for those who saw the world differently than he did. Mr. Suman said he once asked Mr. Sen why he was not more active in his faith and it resulted in a long philosophical discussion.

"He was so gentle," Mr. Suman said. "He said in this world a lot of people are dying, killing over religious things."

Reporting was contributed by William K. Rashbaum, Wendy Ruderman, Jeffrey E. Singer and Julie Turkewitz. Susan C. Beachy contributed research.


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Russia Says Bashar al-Assad Won’t Leave Syria

Sergei Karpukhin/Reuters

Russia's foreign minister, Sergey V. Lavrov, right, spoke Saturday at a news conference with Lakhdar Brahimi, the United Nations and Arab League envoy on Syria.

MOSCOW — Russia's foreign minister, Sergey V. Lavrov, said Saturday that there was "no possibility" of persuading President Bashar al-Assad to leave Syria, leaving little hope for a breakthrough in the standoff. He also said that the opposition leaders' insistence on Mr. Assad's departure as a precondition for peace talks would come at the cost of "more and more lives of Syrian citizens" in a conflict that has already killed tens of thousands.

Moscow has made a muscular push for a political solution in recent days, sending signals that the Kremlin, one of Mr. Assad's most important allies, sees a pressing need for political change. As an international consensus forms around the notion of a transitional government, it has been snagged on the thorny question of what role, if any, Mr. Assad would occupy in it.

But after talks in Moscow on Saturday with Lakhdar Brahimi, the United Nations and Arab League envoy on Syria, Mr. Lavrov said that Russia could not press Mr. Assad to give up power. Mr. Lavrov has said that Russia "isn't in the business of regime change," but his characterization of Mr. Assad's stance on Saturday sounded more definitive.

"He has repeatedly said, both publicly and privately, including during his meeting with Lakhdar Brahimi not long ago, that he has no plans to go anywhere, that he will stay in his post until the end, that he will, as he says, protect the Syrian people, Syrian sovereignty and so forth," Mr. Lavrov said. "There is no possibility of changing this position."

There have been evident changes in the standoff over Syria in recent weeks, as Russia acknowledged that government forces were losing territory and distanced itself from Mr. Assad. In televised remarks, President Vladimir V. Putin said that Russian leaders "are not preoccupied by the fate of Assad's regime" and that after 40 years of rule by one family, "undoubtedly there is a call for change."

But Moscow has watched the recent Arab uprisings with mounting worry, arguing that the West was unleashing dangerous turbulence by supporting popular rebellions, and it has vehemently opposed any international intervention in Syria as a matter of principle.

Developments on the battlefield have accelerated the pace of diplomacy.

Anti-Assad activists on Saturday reported fierce fighting and large numbers of casualties in the central city of Homs, where they said government troops were completely surrounding the Deir Ba'alba neighborhood after storming the area on Friday. An activist reached by telephone, who said he was less than a mile from the neighborhood on Saturday night, said he heard gunfire and saw houses in flames. Communications to the area had been cut, and civilians and rebel fighters who had managed to flee were "traumatized," he said.

Mr. Brahimi, an Algerian statesman who is viewed sympathetically in Moscow, recommended last week that a transitional government be established, perhaps within months, and that it should rule Syria until elections could be held.

Like Russia, Mr. Brahimi hopes to arrange a political settlement on the basis of an international agreement reached this summer in Geneva, which envisages a transitional government and a peacekeeping force. But the Geneva document does not address Mr. Assad's fate, nor does it invoke tough sanctions against the Syrian government under Chapter VII of the United Nations Charter, which authorizes economic measures and, if necessary, military action.

On Saturday, Mr. Brahimi said that it might be necessary to "make some small changes to the Geneva agreement."

"Nonetheless," he added, "I consider that it is a wonderful basis for the continuation of the political process." He warned that if a political solution was not possible, Syria would be overrun by violence, like Somalia. He also said his recent visit to Damascus had convinced him that continued fighting in the country could turn into "something horrible," and he envisioned the flight of a million people across Syria's borders into Jordan and Lebanon.

"The problem could grow to such proportions that it could have a substantial effect on our future, and we cannot ignore this," Mr. Brahimi said.

Russia has set the stage for forward momentum, announcing a gathering in mid-January between the United States, Russia and Mr. Brahimi to discuss Syria.

Moscow may see these talks as a chance to rebuild its prestige in the Arab world, where Russia's historically strong alliances have been badly damaged by the standoff over Syria. Mr. Lavrov bridled on Saturday when a reporter from an Arabic news channel asked him to comment on criticism that Russia was "a participant in the Syrian conflict" because it continued to fulfill weapons contracts with Damascus after the outbreak of violence.

The accusation, Mr. Lavrov said, "is so far from the truth that there's no way to comment on it." He said that Russia did not supply the government with offensive weapons, and that much of Syria's arsenal dated to the Soviet era. He also said the opposition was receiving a far more deadly flow of weapons and aid.

The leader of the main opposition coalition, Sheik Ahmad Moaz al-Khatib, responded coolly to an overture on Friday from Russia, saying Moscow should publicly apologize for its pro-government position. He also refused to meet with Russian leaders in Moscow, saying a meeting was possible only in an Arab country.

Mr. Lavrov said Saturday that he would agree to such a meeting, but he responded to Mr. Khatib's remarks with an equally chilly response.

"I know that Mr. Khatib is probably not very experienced in politics," he said. "If he aspires to the role of a serious politician, he will nonetheless understand that it is in his own interests to hear our analysis directly from us."

Hwaida Saad contributed reporting from Beirut, Lebanon.


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Nets 103, Cavaliers 100: Nets Talk Over Lunch and Win After Dinner

A Russian billionaire and a coaching lifer from Scranton, Pa., walked into a Greek restaurant, providing the setup for a corny punch line or perhaps an agenda for the future of the Nets. Or maybe it was just a lunch.

Either way, P. J. Carlesimo, the Nets' newly installed interim coach, enjoyed his first extensive meeting Saturday with Mikhail D. Prokhorov, the Nets' owner, who is contemplating his next move after firing Coach Avery Johnson last week.

They met for two hours Saturday at Milos, in Midtown Manhattan — along with General Manager Billy King and Dmitry Razumov, Prokhorov's chief liaison to the team — and discussed a variety of topics over a large platter of Mediterranean fare.

"We talked about the team, and we talked about the food and restaurants and stuff," Carlesimo said Saturday night before the Nets scratched out a tense 103-100 victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers at Barclays Center.

Carlesimo was guarded about the conversation, particularly as it pertained to his future and the Nets' coaching search. But he left with a firm sense of Prokhorov's priorities.

"That he wants to win a championship," Carlesimo said. "That he's willing to do whatever it takes to win a championship. That he's got a good understanding of our team and the N.B.A.

"I think if we would keep winning games, that would be good," Carlesimo added, deadpan. "Definitely prefers winning."

The Nets are preparing to make a determined run at Phil Jackson, by far the best coach on the market and their only target for the moment, people monitoring the process have said. There has been no contact yet between the parties, although a conversation is expected sometime after New Year's Day. Jackson is open to meeting with Prokhorov, but his interest in the job — or a return to coaching, period — is far from certain, according to friends.

For now, Carlesimo has the job and the burden of reviving the team. The Nets took another positive step Saturday, improving to 2-0 under Carlesimo, although the victory took more effort than expected. The win was not secured until Kyrie Irving missed a 3-pointer at the final buzzer.

The Nets showed some of their worst habits Saturday night, taking a big early lead (15 points) and then squandering most of it before pulling out the win. Irving hit a 3-pointer that cut the lead to 101-100 with 5.9 seconds left, before the Nets' Joe Johnson hit two free throws to finish the scoring.

Brook Lopez led the Nets for the second straight night, scoring a season-high 35 points and adding 11 rebounds while going 13 for 20 from the field. Deron Williams continued to emerge from his season-long slump, scoring 15 points while making 5 of 12 shots. He also had seven assists.

The Nets never could put the game away, though, in part because they could not stop C. J. Miles from hitting nearly shot he attempted from beyond the 3-point arc. He converted a career-high 8 of 10 3-point attempts, finishing with 33 points. Irving, the Cavaliers' young star point guard, had 13 points and 7 assists.

The Nets' modest winning streak will be tested with a three-game trip that begins with stops in San Antonio and in Oklahoma City, against two of the top teams in the Western Conference. But the schedule is easier from there, giving Carlesimo the chance to put the Nets on a winning track.

If the Nets fail to land Jackson, it is conceivable that Carlesimo could remain the coach for the rest of the season. The field of candidates beyond Jackson is not particularly compelling, and all of them will probably still be available after the season.

As long as the Nets start winning again — or at least start showing the same feistiness that powered them to 11 victories in November — there may be no urgency to make another change until the off-season.

"I think it's available," Carlesimo said of the job. "I think we need to win. And there's also coaches that are available. And that's not something I have any control over."

Jackson would have to be convinced that the Nets have championship potential. Even then, he might be hesitant to take the job midseason, without the benefit of a training camp to start teaching the triangle offense, the system he has used through 11 championship runs. It would be nearly impossible to install now, with the Nets fighting just to stay in the playoff hunt.

It is therefore possible that Jackson could give Prokhorov a mixed answer: not no and not yes, but simply "not yet."

REBOUNDS

Kris Humphries missed his fourth straight game Saturday because of a mild abdominal strain and is unlikely to play Monday in San Antonio. He might return to practice Tuesday, P. J. Carlesimo said. "I think when he comes back, he's going to be O.K.," Carlesimo said. "I think it's going to be short rather than long." ... Toko Shengelia returned to the Nets' active roster after missing one game because of flu symptoms. Josh Childress replaced him on the inactive list.


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News Analysis: Weak Response of India Government in Rape Case Stokes Rage

Anupam Nath/Associated Press

Students in Guwahati, India, mourned the death of a rape victim on Saturday with a silent vigil; elsewhere, anger seethed.

NEW DELHI — India often seems to careen from crisis to crisis, with protests regularly spilling onto the streets over the latest outrage or scandal, a nation seemingly always on the boil. But when things settle, as they inevitably do, little seems to change. Public anger usually cools to a simmer.

Now, though, the heat has turned up again, as the death early on Saturday of a young woman savagely assaulted and raped here in the national capital has mushroomed into a new and volatile moment of crisis that has touched a deep chord of discontent. Protests that began more than a week ago as anguished cries against sexual violence in Indian society have broadened into angry condemnations of a government whose response has seemed tone deaf and, at times, incompetent.

On Saturday, hours after the rape victim died at a hospital in Singapore, several thousand people gathered at Jantar Mantar, the designated protest spot in the center of the capital, to express their anguish and rage. The latest demonstrations followed a week that saw the authorities clash with protesters and cordon off the political center of the city with a huge display of force.

"What the government is doing is politically stupid," said Jayati Ghosh, a professor of economics at Jawaharlal Nehru University, speaking during a protest last week. "This will cause public disaffection, because people are seeing the government as inflexible and intolerant. If the government listened, they would find that people are trying to find solutions.

"The problem," she added, "is the government is not even listening."

For much of last week, as some protesters complained that the Indian state was more interested in protecting itself than its citizens, especially women, the symbolism has been stark: the authorities invoked emergency policing laws, closing off the governmental center of the capital, blockading roads and even shutting down subway stations — a democratic government temporarily encircling itself with a moat. At one point, fire hoses were turned on college students.

Those restrictions were eased by Dec. 25, even as New Delhi remained consumed by an anxious vigil as the young woman remained in critical condition. Doctors gave daily, televised updates on her condition until Wednesday evening, when the authorities unexpectedly flew her by special airplane to a hospital in Singapore, where her condition deteriorated before she died of organ failure.

It is the graphic horror of the attack that set off the outrage: the victim was a 23-year-old woman, her identity still withheld, whose evening at the movies with a male friend on Dec. 16 turned nightmarish. The police say a group of drunken men waved the pair onto a private bus, promising a ride home, but instead assaulted them with an iron rod and raped the woman as the bus moved through the city.

College students, mostly women, led the early protests. Sexual violence has become a national scandal in India, amid regular reports of gang rapes and other assaults against infants, teenagers and other women. But women also spoke of a more pervasive form of harassment: of being groped in public; of fearing to ride buses or subways alone; of victims, not attackers, being shamed and blamed.

"Rape happens everywhere," Urvashi Butalia, a feminist writer, wrote in The Hindu, a national English-language newspaper. "It happens inside homes, in families, in neighborhoods, in police stations, in towns and cities, in villages, and its incidence increases, as is happening in India, as society goes through change, as women's roles begin to change, as economies slow down and the slice of the pie becomes smaller."

Analysts say that India's coalition national government, led by the Indian National Congress Party, had an early opportunity to defuse the anger by embracing the protests and providing comfort and reassurance. Yet that moment, analysts agree, was missed, as top leaders misjudged how quickly public anger would escalate, especially among the young. It was a generational divide between young urbanites, often communicating by social media, and a government unable to find a way to win public trust.

Reassurances offered by Sonia Gandhi, president of the Congress Party, came off as unconvincing. Her son Rahul Gandhi, the party's heir apparent, has barely been visible.

Niharika Mandhana and Sruthi Gottipati contributed reporting.


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Unboxed: Big Data Is Great, but Don’t Forget Intuition

Andrew McAfee, principal research scientist at the M.I.T. Center for Digital Business, led off the conference by saying that Big Data would be "the next big chapter of our business history." Next on stage was Erik Brynjolfsson, a professor and director of the M.I.T. center and a co-author of the article with Dr. McAfee. Big Data, said Professor Brynjolfsson, will "replace ideas, paradigms, organizations and ways of thinking about the world."

These drumroll claims rest on the premise that data like Web-browsing trails, sensor signals, GPS tracking, and social network messages will open the door to measuring and monitoring people and machines as never before. And by setting clever computer algorithms loose on the data troves, you can predict behavior of all kinds: shopping, dating and voting, for example.

The results, according to technologists and business executives, will be a smarter world, with more efficient companies, better-served consumers and superior decisions guided by data and analysis.

I've written about what is now being called Big Data a fair bit over the years, and I think it's a powerful tool and an unstoppable trend. But a year-end column, I thought, might be a time for reflection, questions and qualms about this technology.

The quest to draw useful insights from business measurements is nothing new. Big Data is a descendant of Frederick Winslow Taylor's "scientific management" of more than a century ago. Taylor's instrument of measurement was the stopwatch, timing and monitoring a worker's every movement. Taylor and his acolytes used these time-and-motion studies to redesign work for maximum efficiency. The excesses of this approach would become satirical grist for Charlie Chaplin's "Modern Times." The enthusiasm for quantitative methods has waxed and waned ever since.

Big Data proponents point to the Internet for examples of triumphant data businesses, notably Google. But many of the Big Data techniques of math modeling, predictive algorithms and artificial intelligence software were first widely applied on Wall Street.

At the M.I.T. conference, a panel was asked to cite examples of big failures in Big Data. No one could really think of any. Soon after, though, Roberto Rigobon could barely contain himself as he took to the stage. Mr. Rigobon, a professor at M.I.T.'s Sloan School of Management, said that the financial crisis certainly humbled the data hounds. "Hedge funds failed all over the world," he said.

THE problem is that a math model, like a metaphor, is a simplification. This type of modeling came out of the sciences, where the behavior of particles in a fluid, for example, is predictable according to the laws of physics.

In so many Big Data applications, a math model attaches a crisp number to human behavior, interests and preferences. The peril of that approach, as in finance, was the subject of a recent book by Emanuel Derman, a former quant at Goldman Sachs and now a professor at Columbia University. Its title is "Models. Behaving. Badly."

Claudia Perlich, chief scientist at Media6Degrees, an online ad-targeting start-up in New York, puts the problem this way: "You can fool yourself with data like you can't with anything else. I fear a Big Data bubble."

The bubble that concerns Ms. Perlich is not so much a surge of investment, with new companies forming and then failing in large numbers. That's capitalism, she says. She is worried about a rush of people calling themselves "data scientists," doing poor work and giving the field a bad name.

Indeed, Big Data does seem to be facing a work-force bottleneck.

"We can't grow the skills fast enough," says Ms. Perlich, who formerly worked for I.B.M. Watson Labs and is an adjunct professor at the Stern School of Business at New York University.

A report last year by the McKinsey Global Institute, the research arm of the consulting firm, projected that the United States needed 140,000 to 190,000 more workers with "deep analytical" expertise and 1.5 million more data-literate managers, whether retrained or hired.

Thomas H. Davenport, a visiting professor at the Harvard Business School, is writing a book called "Keeping Up With the Quants" to help managers cope with the Big Data challenge. A major part of managing Big Data projects, he says, is asking the right questions: How do you define the problem? What data do you need? Where does it come from? What are the assumptions behind the model that the data is fed into? How is the model different from reality?

Society might be well served if the model makers pondered the ethical dimensions of their work as well as studying the math, according to Rachel Schutt, a senior statistician at Google Research.

"Models do not just predict, but they can make things happen," says Ms. Schutt, who taught a data science course this year at Columbia. "That's not discussed generally in our field."

Models can create what data scientists call a behavioral loop. A person feeds in data, which is collected by an algorithm that then presents the user with choices, thus steering behavior.

Consider Facebook. You put personal data on your Facebook page, and Facebook's software tracks your clicks and your searches on the site. Then, algorithms sift through that data to present you with "friend" suggestions.

Understandably, the increasing use of software that microscopically tracks and monitors online behavior has raised privacy worries. Will Big Data usher in a digital surveillance state, mainly serving corporate interests?

Personally, my bigger concern is that the algorithms that are shaping my digital world are too simple-minded, rather than too smart. That was a theme of a book by Eli Pariser, titled "The Filter Bubble: What the Internet Is Hiding From You."

It's encouraging that thoughtful data scientists like Ms. Perlich and Ms. Schutt recognize the limits and shortcomings of the Big Data technology that they are building. Listening to the data is important, they say, but so is experience and intuition. After all, what is intuition at its best but large amounts of data of all kinds filtered through a human brain rather than a math model?

At the M.I.T. conference, Ms. Schutt was asked what makes a good data scientist. Obviously, she replied, the requirements include computer science and math skills, but you also want someone who has a deep, wide-ranging curiosity, is innovative and is guided by experience as well as data.

"I don't worship the machine," she said.


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Senate Leaders Set to Work on a Last-Minute Tax Agreement

Written By Unknown on Sabtu, 29 Desember 2012 | 12.07

Luke Sharrett for The New York Times

In a televised statement at the White House after meeting with Congressional leaders on Friday, President Obama said he was "modestly optimistic" that an agreement could be reached.

WASHINGTON — At the urging of President Obama, the Democratic and Republican leaders of the Senate set to work Friday night to assemble a last-minute tax deal that could pass both chambers of Congress and avert large tax increases and budget cuts next year, or at least stop the worst of the economic punch from landing beginning Jan. 1.

After weeks of fruitless negotiations between the president and Speaker John A. Boehner, Mr. Obama turned to Senator Harry Reid, the majority leader, and Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, the Republican leader — two men who have been fighting for dominance of the Senate for years — to find a solution. The speaker, once seen as the linchpin for any agreement, essentially ceded final control to the Senate and said the House would act on whatever the Senate could produce.

"The hour for immediate action is here. It is now," Mr. Obama said in the White House briefing room after an hourlong meeting with the two Senate leaders, Mr. Boehner and Representative Nancy Pelosi, the House Democratic leader. He added, "The American people are not going to have any patience for a politically self-inflicted wound to our economy, not right now."

Senate Democrats want Mr. McConnell to propose an alternative to Mr. Obama's final offer and present it to them in time for a compromise bill to reach the Senate floor on Monday and be sent to the House. Absent a bipartisan deal, Mr. Reid said Friday night that he would accede to the president's request to put to a vote on Monday Mr. Obama's plan to extend tax cuts for all income below $250,000 a year and to renew expiring unemployment compensation for as many as two million people, essentially daring Republicans to block it and allow taxes to rise for most Americans.

Bipartisan agreement still hinged on the Senate leaders finding an income level above which taxes will rise on Jan. 1, most likely higher than Mr. Obama's level of $250,000. Quiet negotiations between Senate and White House officials were already drifting up toward around $400,000 before Friday's White House meeting. The two sides were also apart on where to set taxes on inherited estates.

But senators broke from a long huddle on the Senate floor with Mr. McConnell on Friday night to say they were more optimistic that a deal was within reach. Mr. McConnell, White House aides and Mr. Reid were to continue talks on Saturday, aiming for a breakthrough as soon as Sunday.

"We're working with the White House, and hopefully we'll come up with something we can recommend to our respective caucuses," said Mr. McConnell, who has played a central role in cutting similar bipartisan deals in the past.

The emerging path to a possible resolution, at least on Friday, appeared to mirror the end of the protracted stalemate over the payroll tax last year. In that conflict, House Republicans refused to go along with a short-term extension of the cut, but Mr. McConnell reached an agreement that permitted such a measure to get through the Senate, and the House speaker essentially forced members to accept it from afar, after they had left forChristmas recess.

This time, the consequences are more significant, with more than a half-trillion dollars in tax increases and across-the-board spending cuts just days from going into force, an event most economists warn would send the economy back into recession if not quickly mitigated. With the House set to return to the Capitol on Sunday night, Mr. Boehner has said he would place any Senate bill before his chamber and let the vote proceed and the chips fall. The House could also change the legislation and return it to the Senate.

If the Senate is able to produce a bill that is largely bipartisan, there is a strong belief among House Republicans that the same measure would easily pass the House, with a large number of Republicans. While Mr. Boehner was unable to muster enough votes for his alternative bill that would have protected tax cuts for income under $1 million, that was because the measure lacked Democratic support, and was roughly a few dozen votes shy of passage with Republicans alone.

Helene Cooper and Ron Nixon contributed reporting.


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Woman Sought After 2nd Fatal Shove Into Subway Tracks in a Month

Victor J. Blue for The New York Times

The police on Friday at the subway station in Queens where Sunando Sen was pushed to his death on Thursday night, in what witnesses said was an unprovoked attack.

Like so many busy New Yorkers in a hurry to get where they have to go, Sunando Sen peered out over the tracks on an elevated subway stop in Queens on Thursday evening, anxiously awaiting the next train.

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Victor J. Blue for The New York Times

The Bangladesh passport of Mr. Sen, 46. He opened a copying business this year on the Upper West Side of Manhattan.

What he did not see, the authorities said, was a woman approaching from behind who had been sitting on a bench and who had been heard mumbling to herself. Before Mr. Sen could react, the woman pushed him into the path of a No. 7 train roaring into the 40th Street-Lowery Street subway station in Sunnyside. Mr. Sen was crushed under the train.

As onlookers screamed, the woman fled the station down two flights of stairs. Her image was captured by a security camera as she ran down Queens Boulevard, casting a wary glance over her shoulder. She remained at large on Friday.

The seemingly unprovoked attack, the second time this month that a man was thrown to his death on the subway tracks, stirred some of the deepest fears of New Yorkers.

"When a murder happens in New York, it can often be dismissed as being in someone else's backyard," said Gene Russianoff, staff lawyer for the Straphangers Campaign, a rider advocacy group. "The subway is everyone's backyard."

The police identified the victim as Mr. Sen of Queens, a 46-year-old immigrant who had been raised in India and who, after years of toil, had finally saved enough money to open a small copying business this year on the Upper West Side.

Ar Suman, one of four roommates who shared a small first-floor apartment with Mr. Sen in Elmhurst, said he was driving a client upstate when another roommate called and told him what had happened. Hoping that the information was wrong, Mr. Suman raced back to the city, only to find that there was nothing he could do — Mr. Sen was dead.

"He was a very educated person and quite nice," Mr. Suman said. "It is unbelievable. He never had a problem with anyone."

Mr. Suman said Mr. Sen was proud when he had saved enough money to open the business, New Amsterdam Copy.

Since the shop opened, he had rarely taken a day off, Mr. Suman said.

"I asked him why do you work seven days a week?" Mr. Suman said. "He told me, 'I cannot hire someone because business is not good.' "

Police Commissioner Raymond W. Kelly said Friday that according to witnesses' accounts, there was no contact on the platform between the attacker and the victim immediately before the fatal shove. He said Mr. Sen was looking out over the tracks when his attacker approached him.

The attack occurred so quickly, with the train already barreling into the station, that the man had little time to react and bystanders had no time to try to help, said Paul J. Browne, the Police Department's chief spokesman.

Mr. Sen was hit by the first car and his body was pinned under the second car before the 11-car train came to a stop.

Investigators released a grainy black-and-white video overnight showing a person they identified as the attacker fleeing the station and running along Queens Boulevard. She was described by the police as Hispanic, 5 feet 5 inches tall, in her early 20s and heavyset. She was reported to be wearing a blue, white and gray ski jacket and Nike sneakers — gray on top, red on bottom.

The subway station was closed overnight as officers from the Emergency Services Unit used specialized inflatable bags to lift the train and recover the victim's remains. The No. 7 line had resumed normal service by the morning rush.

Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg said that such attacks were exceedingly rare, but that statistics did not diminish the tragedy for the families of the victims.

"You can say it's only two out of the three or four million people who ride the subway every day, but two is two too many," he told reporters.

"I don't know that there is a way to prevent things," Mr. Bloomberg said. "There is always going to be somebody, a deranged person."

He added: "We do live in a world where our subway platforms are open, and that's not going to change."

Michael M. Grynbaum and Wendy Ruderman contributed reporting.


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Victim of Gang Rape in India Dies at Hospital in Singapore

NEW DELHI — A young woman who had been in critical condition since she was raped two weeks ago by a group of men who lured her onto a bus here died early Saturday, an official at the hospital in Singapore that was caring for her said.

The woman, a 23-year-old physiotherapy student whose rape on Dec. 16 had served as a reminder of the dangerous conditions women face in India, died "peacefully," according to a statement by Dr. Kelvin Loh, the chief executive of Mount Elizabeth Hospital in Singapore.

The woman, whose intestines were removed because of injuries caused by a metal rod used during the rape, has not been identified. She was flown to Singapore on Wednesday night after undergoing three abdominal operations at a local hospital. She had also suffered a major brain injury, cardiac arrest and infections of the lungs and abdomen. "She was courageous in fighting for her life for so long against the odds, but the trauma to her body was too severe for her to overcome," Dr. Loh's statement said.

The police have arrested six people in connection with the attack, Indian officials said.

Revulsion and anger over the rape have galvanized India, where women regularly face sexual harassment and assault, and where neither the police nor the judicial system is seen as adequately protecting them.

As government officials and the police appealed for calm, protesters gathered in New Delhi at Jantar Mantar, a popular site for demonstrations, just after dawn. The roads leading to India Gate, the site of earlier protests that had turned violent, had been barricaded by the police, and nearby subway stations were closed.

Top officials now say that further change is needed, and Prime Minister Manmohan Singh expressed his "deepest condolences."

"We have already seen the emotions and energies this incident has generated," he said in a statement. "It would be a true homage to her memory if we are able to channelize these emotions and energies into a constructive course of action." The government, he said, is examining "the penal provisions that exist for such crimes and measures to enhance the safety and security of women."

Activists and lawyers in India have long said that the police are insensitive when dealing with crimes against women, and that therefore many women do not report cases of sexual violence.

India, which has more than 1.3 billion people, recorded 24,000 cases of rape last year, a figure that has increased by 25 percent in the past six years. On Thursday, Delhi government officials said they would register the names and photographs of convicted rapists on the Delhi police Web site, the beginning of a national registry for rapists.

The family of an 18-year-old woman in the northern Indian state of Punjab who was raped last month by two men and committed suicide on Wednesday blamed the police on Friday for her death.

Relatives of the woman say she killed herself because the police delayed registering the case or arresting the rapists.

If the police "had done their job, she would be alive today," the woman's sister, Charanjit Kaur, 28, said in a phone interview. "They didn't listen to us; they didn't act."

On Friday, the Punjab high court intervened, asking the police to explain their delay. Three police officers have been suspended in the case, according to news media reports. Punjab police officials did not respond to phone calls seeking comment.

Ms. Kaur said the men abducted her sister from a place of worship near the small town of Badshahpur on Nov. 13, then drugged and raped her repeatedly.

When her sister reported the attack at the local police station a few days later, she was asked to describe it in graphic detail and was "humiliated," Ms. Kaur said. Over the next few days, she said, her mother and sister were repeatedly called to the police station and forced to sit all day.

But the case was not registered for two weeks, as police officials and village elders tried to broker a deal between the men accused of the rape and the victim. In some parts of India, women are commonly married to men who have raped them.

Ms. Kaur said the police told her family that, because they were poor, they would not be able to fight the matter in court. "They kept putting pressure on my family to take money or marry the accused or just somehow settle the matter," she said.

After no agreement was reached, the police registered the case, but made no arrests.

The victim was stalked by the men accused of the rape, who threatened to kill her and her family if she refused to drop the complaint, her suicide note said.

"They have ruined my life," the note read, Ms. Kaur said. It named two men and a woman who allegedly helped them in the kidnapping. Those men have been arrested, the police said.

Keith Bradsher contributed reporting from Hong Kong.


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Death of Inouye Means Loss of Power for Hawaii

T.J. Kirkpatrick for The New York Times

Brian Schatz, with his family and Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., was sworn in Thursday to the Senate seat of Daniel K. Inouye, who died last week.

HONOLULU — No man is an island. But in Hawaii, Daniel K. Inouye sure seems like one.

After he died last week at 88, this state went into a mourning period usually reserved for monarchs and presidents. His remains were flown to four islands so people could pay their respects, like Abraham Lincoln's cross-country journey by train after he was assassinated.

When his coffin was carried into the state Capitol, the local news stations all broadcast the live scene. And on the day he was honored at a memorial service at the veterans' cemetery here, Honolulu city buses flashed "Mahalo Dan" on their electric displays, using the Hawaiian expression for "Thank you."

They have good reason to be thankful.

Hawaii has had only six United States senators since it became a state in 1959. And since 1962, Mr. Inouye had been one of them, all the while heaping the federal government's largess on his small state.

When he died, he was the senior member of the Senate, the second-longest serving member in the Senate's history, and the chairman of the powerful Appropriations Committee, the ideal perch for directing billions of federal dollars back home.

The state ranked the highest by far in per-capita federal earmark spending, according to the most recent figures from Taxpayers for Common Sense. The $412 million spent on Hawaii in 2010, before a moratorium on earmarks went into effect, was equal to almost $320 for each of the state's 1.3 million people. (North Dakota was second, at about $233 per person.)

Hawaii, it is often joked here, has three industries: tourism, the military and Dan Inouye.

But with his death and the retirement of the state's other senator, Daniel K. Akaka, Hawaii will lose all of its seniority in the Senate, raising concerns here that the influence the state has accumulated over the last half-century will be greatly diminished and that federal aid will be harder to obtain.

"Going from first to last is a hard pill to swallow," said Justin Hughey, a teacher from Maui who sits on the central committee of the state's Democratic Party. "With all the money Dan was able to raise, those are some big shoes to fill."

Mr. Inouye's appointed successor, Brian Schatz, was sworn in on Thursday. Representative Mazie Hirono, a Democrat who was elected in November to replace Mr. Akaka, will be sworn in when the new Congress meets next week.

Like many people here, Mr. Hughey can point to a particular project that he associates with Mr. Inouye. For him, it was the Lahaina Bypass, a highway on Maui that helped alleviate traffic congestion. "That money wouldn't have been there if it weren't for Dan," he said. "There's no bridge to nowhere here."

Mr. Inouye, who lost his right arm in combat during World War II, also persuaded the United States military to leave its bases in Hawaii open, even though the state is no longer as vital for strategic defense purposes. The Army, Navy, Coast Guard, Air Force and Marine Corps all maintain installations here.

"There were several times that there was talk of Pearl Harbor being shut down, but he protected us from that," said Jeanne Ishikawa, who attended a memorial service for Mr. Inouye on Oahu over the weekend. "What he did is huge. You can't define it. You can't quantify it."

Complicating matters even more, the state's House delegation will be especially junior in the next Congress. Colleen Hanabusa, 61, a Democrat, will be the state's senior representative, but she will be in only her second term. Tulsi Gabbard, 31, who will succeed Ms. Hirono, was just elected in November.  

If Hawaii's loss of seniority is worrying some residents, its elected officials are putting on stone faces. "Let's not be wringing our hands," Ms. Hirono said. "He would expect us to show strength and to build on the foundation he laid."

Gov. Neil Abercrombie, himself a former member of the House, characterized the seniority shifts as an inevitable changing of the guard. "Between Tulsi Gabbard coming in at 31 in the House and Brian Schatz coming into the Senate at 40, we're investing in the long run," said Mr. Abercrombie, who decided to appoint Mr. Schatz, his lieutenant governor, this week. "Sooner or later, it has to begin again. That's what we're doing. We're not whining. We're not complaining."

Hawaiians often describe Mr. Inouye's contributions as immeasurable or unquantifiable. In one way, they are.

Unlike Senators Robert C. Byrd of West Virginia or Ted Stevens of Alaska, whose legacies of pork barrel spending are evident in the structures named for them, Mr. Inouye's name appears on almost nothing here. A soft-spoken man whose small stature belied his influence, Mr. Inouye was always reluctant to herald his work.

But there is already talk of memorializing him. "I guess we'll have to name a highway after him, or put up a statue," said Grace Fujii, whose father is a veteran of the same Army combat team as Mr. Inouye. "But he'd probably say, 'Who, me? Why?' "   


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Nets 97, Bobcats 81: Nets Beat the Bobcats but Pine for Phil Jackson

In a quiet moment of a dreary Friday night at Barclays Center, a single voice screeched from the lower bowl, with an emphatic desperation.

"We want Phil!"

The frantic plea of one disillusioned Nets fan might soon become a full-throated chorus across Brooklyn.

The Nets have firmly targeted Phil Jackson — the man with the 11 championship rings, the Zen maxims and the geometric offense — to replace the recently fired Avery Johnson.

No deal is imminent, no formal discussions have taken place and it is no certainty that Jackson wants the job. But the search will start with Jackson and only Jackson, according to multiple people monitoring the process.

P. J. Carlesimo is on the bench for now, and he guided the Nets to a 97-81 rout of the Charlotte Bobcats on Friday night, a day after Johnson was dismissed. Carlesimo was named the interim head coach, a title he will retain until the Nets identify a permanent replacement, whenever that day comes.

Team officials maintain there is no timeline for making a hire, and the owner Mikhail D. Prokhorov shed no light on the matter in a brief interview with reporters at halftime. Instead, he gave his full support, repeatedly, to Carlesimo.

"P. J., he is the head coach," Prokhorov said. "I think we have a lot of trust in him. And really, I want him to lead the team."

Asked if he would be interested in a coach with 11 championships, Prokhorov smiled broadly as a dozen camera shutters snapped.

"Now, P. J. is the head coach," he said again. "And if it becomes necessary, you know who usual suspects are."

When Jackson's name was specifically mentioned, Prokhorov turned coy again: "I never heard this name, you know."

A person with ties to the search called Jackson "the No. 1 choice," for all of the obvious reasons. He is the most decorated coach in N.B.A. history, he is available and he has strong ties to New York, having begun his playing career with the Knicks and ended it with the Nets (then in New Jersey).

All other candidates are considered distant second choices, at least until Nets officials determine whether Jackson wants the job. That is an open question, even among Jackson's friends. It is far from certain that Jackson will coach again, and if so, whether he can be lured to Brooklyn.

"I think he will talk to Prokhorov and just see where the conversation goes," one longtime friend said — a theme echoed by others.

If Jackson is to return to the sideline, in any city, he will want to see a "path to the championship," one friend said.

Could that path go through Brooklyn? Possibly. The Nets' three stars — Deron Williams, Joe Johnson and Brook Lopez — would all be natural fits in Jackson's triangle offense. Still, the Nets look like a team that remains a player or two from title contention.

Money will not be a priority for Jackson, friends said. He does not expect to make the $12 million annually that he earned in his last term with the Los Angeles Lakers. However, he is expected to seek a role in player personnel decisions, and perhaps assurance of a front-office job after his coaching term is complete. Jackson, 67, is expected to coach only for another few years.

There have been no formal discussions so far, however, and Jackson's longtime agent, Todd Musburger, is on vacation. In the only comment he has issued so far — in a text sent to TNT's David Aldridge — Musburger indicated that Jackson "has no interest in the Nets job at this time."

The "at this time" qualifier was widely interpreted as an intentional hedge, leaving the door open for Jackson to make a play for the job.

Jackson is famously methodical in these matters, so it is no surprise that he is not leaping to fill the vacancy.

The Nets are not the only ones seeking Jackson's wisdom and rings. At least two other teams have approached him recently — most likely offering off-the-court positions — and it is believed that Jackson is considering those options.

Prokhorov plans to spend New Year's Eve in Europe, so the Nets will not seek a meeting with Jackson or anyone else for at least a few days.

The team has a list of other candidates — including Mike Dunleavy, Jeff Van Gundy and perhaps Larry Brown — but none will be relevant until the Nets have determined whether Jackson wants the job.

Dunleavy, a Brooklyn native, has left no doubt about his intentions. He openly lobbied for the job Friday.

"First off, I'm from Brooklyn, so if ever given the opportunity to coach a team from Brooklyn, it would be a dream come true," Dunleavy said on his SiriusXM show. "Right now, to the best of my understanding, is that P. J. has been given the job on an interim basis — I'm not sure with the opportunity to keep it or not — but he's a friend of mine, he's a good coach and I wish him all the best in what he's doing right now."

The field of coaches who have the credibility, the track record and the interest is not particularly deep. Stan Van Gundy, through his representative, indicated immediately that he had no interest in the job.

There are mixed signals about Jeff Van Gundy's interest, although Yahoo Sports reported Friday that he would listen. Van Gundy, in a text message, declined to comment, saying he felt it was inappropriate "to talk about another person's job" — alluding to Carlesimo.

Yahoo also reported that Kelvin Sampson, currently an assistant for the Houston Rockets, is on the Nets' radar. A person briefed on the Nets' deliberations confirmed that Sampson had been discussed but said that he is not viewed as a significant candidate.

Lopez led the rout Friday, scoring 26 points and grabbing 11 rebounds as the Nets sent the Bobcats to their 17th straight loss. The Nets (15-14) led by as many as 29 points and won for just the fourth time in 14 games this month. Williams added 19 points for the Nets.


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Military Analysis: Battle for Aleppo Shows Weaknesses of Both Sides

Written By Unknown on Jumat, 28 Desember 2012 | 12.07

Tyler Hicks/The New York Times

A rebel in Aleppo, which has highlighted the rebels' inability to organize a coherent campaign and the government's missteps. More Photos »

ALEPPO, Syria — The sniper walked through the rubble near this city's front lines. He was searching for another spot from where he might catch a Syrian soldier in his rifle scope's cross hairs.

Speaking in French-accented English, he said he was not Syrian, but a roaming jihadist who had journeyed here to help the Sunni uprising against President Bashar al-Assad's secular, Alawite rule.

"I am a Muslim," he said. "When you see on TV many of your brothers and sisters being killed you have to go help them. This is an obligation in Islam."

The presence of this foreign antigovernment fighter, who claimed to be from Paris and gave his name as Abu Abdullah, pointed to recurring questions of the battle for Syria's largest city: How much longer will the fighting last, and what will its effects be?

Now in its sixth month, the battle for Aleppo has become the contest for Syria in a microcosm, exposing the weakness of both sides, while highlighting anew the perils and costs of the country's bitter civil war.

It has underlined the rebels' difficulties in organizing a coherent campaign; their paucity of infantry weapons heavier than machine guns; and some of their fighters' participation in the same human rights abuses for which they condemn the government, including the summary killing of prisoners.

It has also left rebels vulnerable to allegations of corruption, including the theft of much needed food and other aid.

Simultaneously, the fighting has exposed the government's seemingly fatal miscalculations. For all of its statements to the contrary, and no matter its effort to mass soldiers and firepower here, Mr. Assad's government has mustered neither the popular support nor the military might to stop the rebels' slow momentum, much less to defeat them.

These days rumors circulate of Mr. Assad's dilemma — will he flee Damascus, Syria's capital, or die behind the palace gate? — while it is rebels who speak with confidence.

"Now we are making very good progress," said Col. Abdul Jabbar al-Okaidi, a former Syrian military officer who is now one of the senior rebel commanders in the Aleppo region. "Almost all of the military bases and regime forces in Aleppo have been surrounded."

As winter descends, intensifying the humanitarian crisis for Aleppo's civilians, the battle's direction has decisively shifted.

The Syrian Army units here have been largely cut off from the capital. For weeks they have been yielding ground, contracting under the pressures of persistent rebel attacks from almost every direction and the related difficulties of resupply.

The military's tactic of collective punishment — manifested through seemingly indiscriminate airstrikes and artillery barrages on residential neighborhoods — has earned it only anger and disgust.

One opposition activist noted the army's practice of firing a few artillery rounds into neighborhoods, waiting five or ten minutes for civilians to gather to help the wounded, and then firing again — resembling NATO's practice of repeat airstrikes in its campaign in 2011 to unseat Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi of Libya. "Sometimes we wait and don't go out after the first shells, because we know other shells are coming," said the activist, Mumtaz Mohammad. "There are a lot of victims who were killed because of this policy."

Once able to roam freely in its armored columns, the army begins the winter confined mostly to the city's south and west. It also retains tenuous control of the airport in the southeast, although rebels have pushed close to its fences and claim to have positioned many antiaircraft weapons there.

Syrian Air Force support, almost continuous in the city over the summer, has dwindled. The sound of Russian-made helicopters, once constant, is now unusual.

Passing attack jets often dispense bright strings of decoy flares — a sign that pilots fear the rebels' portable, heat-seeking missiles, used to shoot down at least one aircraft late in the fall.

But these accumulating rebel successes have not come without setbacks, costs and questions about Syria's future. The army, while weak, is still potent and difficult to dislodge where it has concentrated forces in Aleppo, just as it has done in most of Syria's cities.


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